Wednesday, June 07, 2017

Polys should sometimes shut up and let experts speak -

Why polys want to wear their own stupidity is beyond me, A  desperation to have the feeling you are doing something seems to be a common reason .
With wicked problems , better both ways , to let the studied speak

Yes we the people are nervous about the risks of violence from terrorists
 especially young Muslims., whose own old  training books  can be easily interpreted in many places  to allow killing in the name of Allah . ... and when there are thousands  of young immigrant Muslims who can't get work in our countries.      
Why can't we say that . Why don't our press keep saying it ?

Instead of saying the above and saying "keep calm  " polys and their panic driven mates in the media want to prove they are tough when the nature of the quick fixes prove they are just reactionary;

Nothing shows they are our of touch than their grabbing for reactive methologies that will characterize their prophet-less view of protection;
  1. Monitoring the net . Never work too much flow and then you only have words. Thousands of potential bombers - thousands of monitors  
  2. Legislation --changing way parole works  .
  3. Speculative reasoning is what everyone does - people want action  . With so much of this noise on the net its no wonder polys fall for quick fix talk - point is the chatterers wont get eaten alive like polys will if you waste time wandering around responses.

    Emergencies may require emergency actions .
    I am not sure what's best but polys sprucking their own solutions instead of those who are trained --shows them up as a bit desperate and dangerous .  

    The people may well accept and be comforted by

    --random bag checks and GPS monitoring .
    The terrorists will clearly be more wary of turning up in foyers and in crowds if some of the many security guards are able to randomly examine bags.  


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Thursday, September 29, 2016

The lights go out in South Australia

SA is without power for days following extreme weather.   Weatherall wishes like hell he really knew how to weather it all .
Some want to blame the wind ,the lightning   others the lack of alternative connections;( normaly prevents these disasters)  All sorts of stuff. Not science just simple A+B =C stuff
All the most obvious connections are on the net , Up there and lit up like BIG items in the dark stores ready to go off if you dare to try and eat one. Guaranteed to give anyone who tries indigestion .  Neither Victoria or South Australia were prepared for this as they hate coal and dare not even talk about it in polite company ----let alone arrange wires etc.listen to reports about real risks and real energy .
Facebook is not only,, awash with solutions to the drama,  its leading the charge . The experts are out there everywhere . Even polys have to defend everything they have ever done in the hunt to find the "person responsible" " long as its not me". I just opened my mouth and said something about the  idiots in the and how predictable their behavior is . I did nothing ...Who me?

As usual with these media hunts.  its more about point and game scoring than it is restoring food to the failed fridges and rehooking up the solar panels that conveniently don't work at such times . Wind neither
Noone is allowed to say it but the State is waiting for coal to come on line again .
Predictably the accused find fault with the accuser setting up another round of chatter for the evening news ; running there own expensive wastebook on facebook . The gods of sport maybe busy this weekend but so the gods of justice . .
The most "creative" ( perhaps not as it is so easy to find fault with your accuser) take is for believers to  just say the latest disaster is due to CC."Take that you deniers"  ( sorry but u are not allowed to be a sceptic -- that's so septic )
The light in the mind seems to be missing in all this blame game speculation
This is of course very predictable when you open up government to the market ( incl Greenlabor) the speculators get in get a job -- and you don't know which ones to trust. -es when they can't be seen for dust  when they cut the cloth to fit some smaller than required brief .  Poor old Tim Flammery has to defend everything .

Tim looks worried. He should be worried.  He doesn't know what he is talking about , but people don't get that yet.

Blackouts ( and power costs) in South Australia this week are a warning - a very serious warning about how ideologues have been wasting OUR money on things that don't work and cost us heaps . Our lefties fall head over heals to please the Green gods which might be reasonable if they knew what works: their solutions turn out to be idols with legs of clay when its night or not windy . See my posts elsewhere on the way the modern wind machines work and why renewable energy sources are over sold . This common old photo of steam from coalfire towers was used ten years ago to justify the unbalanced idea that carbon is a pollutant and coal in particular is bad. Fuel burning is just as bad . Co2 a fertilizer too . The basic need for backup from coal or gas has NOT ever been addressed because the polys are not capable of engineering a sound energy supply system because they force one side fits everything rubbish..
The comfortable elites will be shaken by the public's unwillingness to worship any more at their church . The painting black of things that suit their ideology but are not consistent ( focus on coal but not on fuel) makes many of our leaders hypocrites . Thinking people will get sick of bowing to good intention by those who don't understand the how - poking with burnable sticks at the great fire.

 Instead of focusing on their environmental issue they meddle with energy and destroy their ability to do anything about the former

Wednesday, June 22, 2016

Climate Change - Is it the great moral challenge of our time ?

There are then 3 key aspects to this question . There is

  1.  Global warming ,( only the Anthro bit) ( Science)  GW  AGW 
  2. What we do about it and      ( Technology )( Politics ) Assuming we can   There is to date no agreement about what we can do to change the risk ---as stated   the options are CCA1 CCA2 -20 
  3. We Must do ( Moral) ( Politics )  Many like Kevin Rudd  , The Greens and Labor say we MUST do something about it .CCAI -20 Leaving aside the reality that we don't know what these advocates really means on the ground-- for the moment .The advocates talk about " strong action " and imply a tax of some sort on somebody - not exactly concrete actions .Who would have thought the reactionaries would ever use a moral argument but they are. ( see Susan Neiman for anyone who wants to argue that CCA1 is set solutions from science) 
Conclusion 1 : Noone can go anywhere with this because we haven't got past 1st base . 
Conclusion  2   Does the issue have Moral Status ?  Clearly only for some . For many of us No  
According to traditional western thinking CC can't be a moral challenge because men are free under God to act until such time as they know they are doing "the wrong thing" . Many of us have no such knowledge. If your are not sure about whether you are sinning,  you have have no obligation to act . Moreover you should not force the issue as many are doing . Knowledge is not information  so it can't be equated for the purposes of political argument. Freedom of belief and speech are connected .

If you are living in fear maybe your need to relook at your faith.The only way our society can really adopt cultural change is if you can  get confession . Coercion on the basis of your more complete knowledge could rightly be considered tyranny.

The science and the substance in summary 

  1. Assuming we can 't do anything about GW , or that we don't need to , is not discussed properly  See the basic physics and geological argument below that GW throughout Geological history that says GW puts more moisture into the  atmosphere which means more clouds and wetter world , We know for example that the many and frequent cold periods in Geological History are Dry periods .      There are radiation and other physics . The common use of montorung and modeling is akin to meddling with statistics. 
  2. All the main evidence ( sea levels arctic ice etc and now coral bleaching ( see posts below) A litany of correlations that go nowhere  near causation . The latest coral bleaching change  was stated by profs within the ocean science as something that will recover by itself . The discussion of resilience by advocates of CCA is enough to take me ignore them . 
  3. The move from Global warming to CC    No scientist I know wants to accept the nonsense target that is the change to the catchall crap phrase "change" . Its in the nature of both weather and the climate to change . CC was clearly was substituted  for GW and AGW about 10 years ago because the case for acting against AGW alone was not clear , 


Advocates of CCA and CCA1 completely lost me when they changed channels from AGW to Climate Change CC-, They ALSO can't be taken seriously with imperatives on the ground when they are unclear about the imperatives in the air (My work is with the practical implications of fluid  and gas science )..
Advocates must regroup and answer thinking peoples doubts in ALL three areas  before they will again get the attention of thinking practical scientists. 

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Wednesday, March 30, 2016

Reviving interest in History and Culture -- a popular new course

UNSW have made headlines by pointing the finger at good old James Cook, Nothing appeals to more people than having a good go at someone - esp someone who appears goody two shoes or in the case of British legends- goody two shoes culture --who cares about the facts
 The popularity of such nonnews and part pictures parading shows how widespread meanness is - the glass half empty brigade is well and truly alive in Universities, making them more than half dead
Not only has the paper appeared to have discovered something ( which it hasn't and therefore doesn't qualify for news ) but its got away with that grand political ambition of presuming to state the need for cultural change . A very clever University on the surface. 

is UNSW    HISTORY   major   a new  4 yr course in storytelling
YEAR1  Tantalizing Titbits of history 
YEAR  2 Reviving interest  in the dying art
Semester 1 --by rewriting history
Semester 2 -- by changing the language
YEAR 3  Cultural change and how to achieve it ,  Overly ambitious polys encouraged 
YEAR 4  How to be as successful as Dan Brown .

Post graduate doctorates offered in
  • How to protect your discoveries from being undermined by new facts :
  • Writing the sequel  and
  • Complete guide to storytelling and 
  • Getting away with your version of the story in media and parliament

    get in early a very popular course 


Wednesday, November 18, 2015

Tyrants or Tyranny?: The real issues in the Desert

The French are going to bomb the hell out something this week as a result  of serious terror driven killing there.    The West is prone to calling the problem that of a tyrant when it is really more about tyranny and the tyranny of the place and space  .

Anger is a good response to anger ( West no longer seems to know this ) IF it targets the real reason for it . The knife and the bullets are incidental, not formative .

Both sides are therefore shooting from the hip .Its a domestic no sane man would get involved in - except if he listened after sunset. .

Agree with Greg Sherridan in the Australian  about our immature ideas of "political reform" : - we have a unreasonable quick fix approach to the deep problems of a struggling desert economy/ methods that work  We in the West are as irrational as anyone by promoting " practical action " which involves coercion using the overly simple technique  of one vote one value, ( just as one example )
The frustration of the people in that area is deeply seated in the land and how they want to use it .They have to have hope and therefore some alternative idealism / way forward.These are not things easily offered,  but objective resilience experts can help   Better targeted investment is best - schools scholarship and migration maybe?   

Understanding is the best way of resolving conflict , The ageing West doesn't even understand its own angst ( egwhy its own kids are vulnerable to idealism)

Did noone there se that all the young people pictured in The Archibald Prize have no faces .  Till we have faces ---- identity problems abound in both the East and West  

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Monday, October 12, 2015

Trust politicians to know what needs doing. You have to be joking

It has to be said despite all the ridicule of Climate change deniers that the  case for stopping the use of coal and other fossil fuels is at best unproven -- the big push has got lots of money to keep it hot but the substance and solutions have been cold all along.
Sound students of science and politics have known all along that talk is cheap on solutions to complex problems --  that doesn't stop stupid politicians opening their mouths and naming nothing that works - and damaging more than they help.
More importantly the half baked effort and shoring up up of unsubstantiated methods is extremely costly and distracting as pointed out by the Cornwall Alliance .

The computer climate models that are the only reason for fears of dangerous, manmade global warming have proven wrong. They predict warming at twice the rate actually observed since the 1970s, and they failed to predict the complete absence of warming since January 1997. There remains, therefore, no good reason for the fears.
It follows that policies to fight global warming fight a non-problem. They waste trillions of dollars needed instead to help the world’s poor meet much more urgent needs. In developed countries they slow, stop, or reverse economic growth, destroy jobs, and raise energy costs, harming everyone—especially the poor and elderly. And, by depriving developing nations of the abundant, affordable, reliable energy they need to rise and stay out of poverty, they would condemn them to more generations of poverty, disease, suffering, and death.

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Sunday, August 16, 2015

Someone will commit suicide if we don't give them what they want

This was the import of Penny Wong's reason why we should ALL vote for SSM ASAP . If you give children what they want  they can in later life commit suicide .Typical green labor to talk coorelation as causation and do things the sub science way -- so much for the future of Green Labor . Just giving people what they want is half the problem in Australia . Who needs leaders like these?

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